Why Roger Federer Will Reach Championship Match in 2014 US Open

By
at Internationaled.org

Published: August 20, 2014

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When Roger Federer was in his prime, predicting him to make the finals of a Grand Slam event was a safer guess than almost anything in sports.

He was an absolute machine and racked up more major titles (17) than any male player in the history of the sport. While he hasn’t won a Grand Slam since 2012 as age and a number of younger competitors caught up to him, he has tapped into his old form during the 2014 season.

It will be enough to get him back to the championship match at the 2014 U.S. Open.



When projecting Federer’s performance in Flushing Meadows, it is worth starting with his path. More specifically, it needs to be mentioned that Rafael Nadal’s injury absence from the tournament significantly improves Federer’s chances at earning a spot in the finals.

Nadal is 23-10 all time against Federer and has won their past five meetings, nine of the last 11 and the last six head-to-head showdowns in Grand Slams. What’s more, Nadal is the defending champion at the U.S. Open and hasn’t lost to Federer since 2012 at the ATP World Tour Masters 1000 Indian Wells.

It’s safe to say that Nadal has been a perpetual thorn in Federer’s side. 

The USA Today went as far as to suggest Nadal’s exit makes Federer the favorite:



Nadal’s absence means Federer is the No. 2 seed and won’t have to play Novak Djokovic until a hypothetical matchup in the championship match. While Djokovic doesn’t own the head-to-head dominance over Federer like Nadal does, he has won five of their past seven matchups and 11 of the past 16.

Still, Federer does hold the all-time lead at 18-17.



Carl Bialik of FiveThirtyEight had an intriguing observation about Federer’s draw after the Nadal injury:

Without Nadal, the Open draw looks very friendly for Federer. He has lo...
Article Source: Bleacher Report - Tennis

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