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Roger Federer’s Tour Finals Victory Means Little About the 2012 Australian Open
Published: December 2, 2011
Federer has earned some support due to how he played at the recently completed ATP World Tour Finals. However, his backers are mistaken in using his form from London as a predictor of how he will play in Melbourne. The current format for the ATP World Tour Finals is too different from the format of a Grand Slam event to think that success in one entails success in the other.
The World Tour Finals features round robin play followed by a semifinal and a final with the winner playing five matches in seven or eight days.
However, those matches are all best of three sets and while they are against top competition for every match, you can still hope to get off the court in two sets and in less than 90 minutes at least part of the time.
At Grand Slams, you have to win seven matches in fourteen days with all of the matches best of five sets.
All of those extra sets disfavor Federer especially as he ages.
Federer got off the court in 61 minutes against Nadal in London last week but there's no real way to hope for that kind of match length in a Grand Slam without a retirement being involved. Even Lukas Lacko kept Federer on the court for 84 minutes at Melbourne Park last year in what was actually a cake-walk for the former world No. 1 player.
In events that have matches that are best of three sets, the older veterans are not so disadvantaged against the younger players in terms of relative fatigue. The reason for that is that fatigue doesn't play as big of a role in the best of three set events as it does in the best of five set events.
A 30-year-old can run with a 24-year-old on the tennis court for a couple hours without losing too many steps, but it's different in a four hour...
Article Source: Bleacher Report - Tennis
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