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Rafael Nadal Should Equal Roger Federer’s Slam Mark in 2016
Published: July 16, 2014
An epic record of 17 major titles that was set over two years ago at the same site in which Federer just lost possibly his last chance at No. 18.
Novak Djokovic, up 5-2 in the fourth set of the 2014 final, clearly got tense in completing what would eventually become Federer's second loss in a major final to a man not named Rafael Nadal. Federer is 15-2 in major finals that don't include Rafa and then 2-6 in Slam finals that featured the Swiss Maestro versus the man from Mallorca (aggregate 17-8).
A slim margin of only three titles now separates Federer's 17 and Nadal's 14. Barring further injury to Nadal in the next couple years, it's entirely conceivable that Nadal could tie Federer's mark by the end of 2016. Eclipsing it would then be possible in 2017.
Winning 14 titles over the last 10 calendar years, Nadal has therefore averaged 1.4 majors per season since his career took flight. That includes two titles in 2013 and a run of three straight Slam finals that saw him claim one more at the 2014 French Open.
Based on this history, it's completely plausible that Nadal could come up with three major victories in the next nine events. In the previous nine, Nadal has eerily also claimed three (four if you include the last 10).
These figures suggest that the real questions going forward involve Nadal's health and Federer's likelihood of adding to his record haul.
As for Federer, I personally believed prior to the 2014 season that he had one more title in him. However, I think Djokovic may have stolen that one away. While I continue to believe Federer will be a force on tour for the next couple of years, I don't see him lifting another major title in his car...
Article Source: Bleacher Report - Tennis
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