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French Open 2011: Does Federer Really Have the Advantage Going into Men’s Final?
Published: June 4, 2011
The question now becomes: can he make me believe he has a chance to beat Rafael Nadal in the finals?
For Federer to win this match, he must do three things in my opinion. Get off to a fast start, keep serving well, and get to net.
For Nadal to win, he must clean up his entire game, as it has been sloppy at times so far in Paris, and he must do what he always does against Federer: pound the backhand until it breaks down.
When you look at all the aspects of this match, this is by far Federer's best shot to beat Rafa in Paris.
Looking at shot by shot for both players, I see things stacking up like this.
The forehands are a tie. It comes down to Rafa's spin and depth against Roger's power and placement. Federer's has been better the past two weeks, but I will never doubt Nadal's forehand.
With the backhand I still give the edge to Nadal. He hits his forehand more, but when he wants to, he can rip his backhand. Federer has been pretty good with his one-hander so far in Paris, but it can start to leak at times, so the edge goes to Nadal here.
The volleys go to Federer. No question there.
The serve—especially the way these two weeks have gone—definitely goes to Federer. Nadal has struggled with it so far in Paris, and after Federer's dominating service performance in the semis against Djokovic, Nadal better watch out.
When you look at overall momentum, it also goes to Federer. He is coming off his best match of the year against the hottest player the tour has seen in years.
Many had already penciled in the Nadal/Djokovic final, so you know the Fed express is feeling good about himself at this moment.
Having said all of that, there are two reasons I still gi...
Article Source: Bleacher Report - Tennis
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