Can Novak Djokovic Upset Rafa Nadal in The US Open Final?

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at Internationaled.org

Published: September 13, 2010

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As Novak Djokovic hit a backhand wide, it brought up two match points for Roger Federer. The headlines were already being written – another Grand Slam final between the two greatest players in the world today. The scene was set, the script was being written. Although nobody seemed to have told Djokovic. The first match point was saved with an excellent drive volley, the second with a magnificent forehand down the line. He held his serve, broke Federer in the next game, and was able to serve out for the match.

So a relatively unexpected US Open Final. Many were predicting a repeat of the 2008 final between Roger Federer and Andy Murray – the two best players on hard courts. However, Novak Djokovic and Rafa Nadal is an enticing prospect for any tennis fan. Nadal has the opportunity to complete the career Grand Slam at the age of only 24. Djokovic is looking for his first Grand Slam title since Australia over two years ago. The bookmakers make Nadal a big favourite. But can Djokovic pull off the upset?

The statistics would suggest that he could. The pair have met 21 times since their first meeting at the French Open back in 2006, with Nadal holding a 14-7 winning record. It seems convincing enough. However, Djokovic has won each of the last three meetings between the two. Although, they all came in the latter part of last year, when Nadal was struggling on his return from injury and his mind was on other matters off the court.

Nine of Nadal’s victories over Djokovic have come on clay, where Nadal is all but unbeatable. Despite this, Djokovic pushed him all the way in their last meeting on the surface, when he eventually fell short, losing 11-9 in a final set tie-break. So, if we exclude these meetings on clay, Djokovic has a 7-5 winning record on other surfaces. On hard courts alone, Djokovic has only lost twice to Nadal, winning all his other seven contests. The first of those defeats was in their first meeting bac...
Article Source: Bleacher Report - Tennis

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