2012 French Open Odds: Rafael Nadal Reigns Supreme

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at Internationaled.org

Published: April 30, 2012

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ATP Barcelona 2012 is over as Rafael Nadal took down another title at the 500 series event, winning the final against David Ferrer in straight sets. The World No. 2 hardly faced any pressure at all throughout the whole event as he did not drop a set all week, with Ferrer his only opponent to ever hold set point opportunities.

The results of the Barca event have not changed the complexion of the betting market for the 2012 French Open that much. Here are the updated odds for the Top 8 favorites to win the men's singles title at the clay court Slam outright:

Rafael Nadal (EVEN odds with Bodog: implies a 50% chance of winning) Novak Djokovic (9/5, +180 with Boylesports: implies a 35% chance of winning) Roger Federer (14/1, +1400 with Boylesports: implies a 6.67% chance of winning) Juan Martin Del Potro (22/1, +2200 with Bwin: implies a 4.35% chance of winning) Andy Murray (25/1, +2500 with Boylesports: implies a 3.85% chance of winning) David Ferrer (33/1, +3300 with bet365: implies a 2.94% chance of winning) John Isner (66/1, +6600 with bet365: implies a 1.49% chance of winning) Tomas Berdych (80/1, +8000 with Bodog: implies a 1.23% chance of winning) In contrast, here are my true odds for each player to win the 2012 French Open men's singles title:

Rafael Nadal (73% chance of winning: implies odds of about -270 or 27/73) Novak Djokovic (11%: implies odds of about +809 or 89/11) Roger Federer (5%: implies odds of +1900 or 19/1) Tomas Berdych (3%: implies odds of about +3233 or 97/3) David Ferrer (2%: implies odds of +4900 or 49/1) Andy Murray (2%: implies odds of +4900 or 49/1) Juan Martin Del Potro (1.5%: implies odds of about +6567 or 197/3) Milos Raonic (1%: implies odds of +9900 or 99/1) The Field: 1.5% chance combined with Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, Gael Monfils, Nicolas Almagro, and Robin Soderling accounting for a huge portion of that. Raonic is the only player that makes the Top 8 for my true odds that does not make the T...
Article Source: Bleacher Report - Tennis

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