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Formula 1 2016 Australian Grand Prix: Is the Race Winner Set for the Title?
Published: March 16, 2016
The 2016 Australian Grand Prix marks the start of the sport's longest-ever year, and it will give us our first real chance to see all 22 drivers in action—and the first answers to our most burning questions.
Are Mercedes still the team to beat? Have Ferrari cut the gap? Are Toro Rosso quicker than Red Bull, where do Williams stand and could McLaren return to regular points contention?
Testing times and analysis have given us hints about the pecking order, but it's impossible to know exactly how competitive each team is until we see them all doing the same thing, on the same track, at the same time.
After qualifying, we'll have an idea of who is on top; after Sunday's race, we'll know for sure who the title favourites are.
Or will we?
Does the result of the first race of the year really tell us how the rest of the season is going to pan out, or does it often present a misleading picture?
Even in a 21-race season, 25 points are 25 points—while they may make up a smaller percentage of the total available in 2016 than in any previous season, any advantage, at any stage, is a good advantage.
Therefore, it goes without saying that championship favourites Lewis Hamilton, Nico Rosberg, Sebastian Vettel and maybe even Kimi Raikkonen will all be targeting the top step of the podium as they seek to get their title chases off to the best possible start.
But how often does taking a points lead away from the first race of the year result in the driver claiming the world title?
Here are the winners of the opening race of each of the last 30 seasons, along with where they ended up in the drivers' standings.
We see from the table above that there is indeed a statistical probability that the winner of the first ...
Article Source: Bleacher Report - Formula 1
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